🚀 Today's Big Ideas: Mastercard (+4.5%), Microsoft (+5.6%), Amazon (+4.3%)
Hedge Fund Quality Insights accessible at EVERYONE's fingertips.
12 out of the last 14 ‘insights’ have made money, our track record is 12:2 (win:loss) with 86% of the ideas having made money. The insights for the next week are: Mastercard, Microsoft and Amazon.
Insights for the following weeks:
Its very straight forward what is happening: Most sell side analysist have been too bearish coming into this year while most buy-side folks were afraid to buy earlier in the year. Now, those buy-side folks need to allocate more capital and the ‘I can not get fired for buying Apple’ fear mentality kicks in. This is why the large cap names are outperforming and are still doing well. July tends to be a strong month for stocks, especially large cap tech names.
What else are we reading?
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Amazon score: 4.3 (out of 5)
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Here are the new LongShortBets signals:
(1) Score 9.1 (out of 10): MASTERCARD poised to seasonally rally by +4.5% during the month of July
What’s Going On Here?
MASTERCARD – A indicates an interesting seasonal (monthly for July) set up. During similar occasions, MASTERCARD – A shares had a median return of +4.5%, over the following 1 month – based on 9 historical occasions with 8 of those showing positive returns (89%). This buy signal for MASTERCARD – A received a high score of 9.1 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 393.3.
What’s This Company About?
MASTERCARD – A is in the Finance-Credit Card sector. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: MA US.
What’s the track record of this Signal?
7.7% (July-2022), 2.3% (July-2021), 6.1% (July-2020), 7.2% (July-2019), 2.8% (July-2018), 4.5% (July-2017), -1.4% (July-2016), 2.4% (July-2015), 5.6% (July-2014)
What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?
We found 1 month to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 411.19 (+4.5%) has been reached. Based on MASTERCARD – A’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 383.9 (last price at 393.3), which is equivalent to a -2.4% decline.
Historical Chart:
What are you reading over the summer?
Crypto Titans: How trillions were made and billions lost in the cryptocurrency markets → Amazon
(2) Score 9.2 (out of 10): MICROSOFT poised to seasonally rally by +5.6% during the month of July
What’s Going On Here?
MICROSOFT indicates an interesting seasonal (monthly for July) set up. During similar occasions, MICROSOFT shares had a median return of +5.6%, over the following 1 month – based on 9 historical occasions with 8 of those showing positive returns (89%). This buy signal for MICROSOFT received a high score of 9.2 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 340.54.
What’s This Company About?
MICROSOFT is in the Applications Software sector. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: MSFT US.
What’s the track record of this Signal?
3.6% (July-2022), 7% (July-2021), 8.5% (July-2020), 2.1% (July-2019), 4.4% (July-2018), 5.6% (July-2017), 9.2% (July-2016), -1.1% (July-2015), 7.8% (July-2014)
What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?
We found 1 month to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 359.54 (+5.6%) has been reached. Based on MICROSOFT’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 330.24 (last price at 340.54), which is equivalent to a -3% decline.
Historical Chart:
(3) Score 9.2 (out of 10): AMAZON poised to seasonally rally by +4.3% during the month of July
What’s Going On Here?
AMAZON.COM indicates an interesting seasonal (monthly for July) set up. During similar occasions, AMAZON.COM shares had a median return of +4.3%, over the following 1 month – based on 9 historical occasions with 9 of those showing positive returns (100%). This buy signal for AMAZON.COM received a high score of 9.2 (out of 10). This insight was generated with last price of 130.36.
What’s This Company About?
AMAZON.COM is in the E-Commerce/Products sector. Based on the last 2 years’ risk/return profile, this asset is seen as Very Risky. Ticker symbol: AMZN US.
What’s the track record of this Signal?
12.9% (July-2022), 3.9% (July-2021), 15.6% (July-2020), 4% (July-2019), 3.8% (July-2018), 2.7% (July-2017), 4.3% (July-2016), 11.8% (July-2015), 10.2% (July-2014)
What’s My Risk / Reward and Time Horizon?
We found 1 month to be the optimal trade horizon, after testing a number of possible alternatives (accuracy of previous returns). Otherwise consider closing out this trade once the target level of 135.91 (+4.3%) has been reached. Based on AMAZON.COM’s recent up and down swings, LongShortBets suggests considering to set a stop loss level for this insight at 126.06 (last price at 130.36), which is equivalent to a -3.3% decline.
Historical Chart:
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